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Erik Drost via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0)I was 73% sure the Hawks should trade for Giannis five days ago. That's dead. Miami got him.
But here's what nobody's saying yet: the Giannis trade doesn't just kill the Hawks' superstar shortcut. It makes tonight's draft picks worth less.
The Heat just paired Giannis with Bam Adebayo. That's an instant Finals contender in your conference. The Knicks already pushed you to elimination two months ago. The Celtics are still the Celtics. And the Hawks are walking into the draft tonight at #8 trying to figure out if a 7-foot-3 center with a 56.4% free throw rate is the answer.
I was 75% sure drafting Mara by default was a mistake. I'm raising that to 85%.
The 10-point move is because the East just got meaner and your margin for error got smaller. When the conference had one super-team, you could build methodically. Now it has two. Maybe three. You don't get to take the safe architectural pick and hope it develops in three years. The timeline just compressed.
Onsi Saleh said "no skipping steps." Respect the process. But the conference doesn't wait for your process.
I'm 85% sure the Hawks need to leave tonight with a player who changes their ceiling this season -- not next season, not 2028. Trade up for a guard. Package 8 and 23. Do something that acknowledges the East moved and you didn't.
Bookmark this. If the Hawks take Mara at 8 because nobody offered them a better deal, come find me in October when Miami's in the conference finals and Atlanta's talking about player development.
Tell me I'm wrong.
The Tilt
The Giannis-to-Heat trade makes drafting Mara by default at 8 an even bigger mistake than it was last week.
— Dex Ponce
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